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Cooper Kupp

SEA vs KC · Sun 8:20 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 24.5 at FanDuel ·

47Signal · over 24.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 4.2 a game recently
  • vs KC · ×0.96 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 28.6 yds against 24.5 · over 47%, under 53%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 24.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 15, 2026

Worst miss -18
24.52025-12-14 vs IND: 46, over 24.5 by 21.5 yds46IND2025-12-18 vs LA: 39, over 24.5 by 14.5 yds39LA2025-12-28 at CAR: 6, under 24.5 by 18.5 yds6CAR2026-01-03 at SF: 29, over 24.5 by 4.5 yds29SF2026-09-09 vs NE: 35, over 24.5 by 10.5 yds35NE2026-09-20 at ARI: 20, under 24.5 by 4.5 yds20ARI2026-09-27 at WAS: 46, over 24.5 by 21.5 yds46WAS2026-10-04 vs LAC: 13, under 24.5 by 11.5 yds13LAC2026-10-11 vs SF: 15, under 24.5 by 9.5 yds15SF2026-10-15 at DEN: 50, over 24.5 by 25.5 yds50DEN
Each game against 24.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-14IND46 over+21.5
2025-12-18LA39 over+14.5
2025-12-28CAR6 under−18.5
2026-01-03SF29 over+4.5
2026-09-09NE35 over+10.5
2026-09-20ARI20 under−4.5
2026-09-27WAS46 over+21.5
2026-10-04LAC13 under−11.5
2026-10-11SF15 under−9.5
2026-10-15DEN50 over+25.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% over+5
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

24.511 books, no line disagreementFD · MGM · ESPN · HR · DK · PX2 · BR · FL · BB · PP · UD· best price at 24.5: FD -114

Line movement

  • FanDuelMoved from 25.5 to 24.5
  • Hard Rock BetMoved from 25.5 to 24.5
  • PrizePicksMoved from 29.5 to 24.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 24.5
2026-10-15@ DEN50over
2026-10-11vs SF15under
2026-10-04vs LAC13under
2026-09-27@ WAS46over
2026-09-20@ ARI20under
2026-09-09vs NE35over
2026-01-03@ SF29over
2025-12-28@ CAR6under
2025-12-18vs LA39over
2025-12-14vs IND46over
2025-12-07@ ATL35over
2025-11-30vs MIN24under
2025-11-23@ TEN24under
2025-11-16@ LA23under
2025-11-09vs ARI74over
2025-10-20vs HOU32over
2025-10-12@ JAX40over
2025-10-05vs TB59over
2025-09-25@ ARI26over
2025-09-21vs NO31over
2025-09-14@ PIT90over
2025-09-07vs SF15under