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D'Andre Swift

CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ET

Receptions · 2.5 at PrizePicks ·

70%under7 / 10 · last 10
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 3.5 a game recently

Expected receptions: 3.0 against 2.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 2.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -2.5 on the under
2.52025-12-14 vs CLE: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51CLE2025-12-20 vs GB: 2, under 2.5 by 0.52GB2025-12-28 at SF: 2, under 2.5 by 0.52SF2026-01-04 vs DET: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51DET2026-09-13 at CAR: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51CAR2026-09-20 vs MIN: 5, over 2.5 by 2.55MIN2026-09-28 vs PHI: 2, under 2.5 by 0.52PHI2026-10-04 vs NYJ: 2, under 2.5 by 0.52NYJ2026-10-11 at GB: 4, over 2.5 by 1.54GB2026-10-18 at ATL: 4, over 2.5 by 1.54ATL
Each game against 2.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-14CLE1 under−1.5
2025-12-20GB2 under−0.5
2025-12-28SF2 under−0.5
2026-01-04DET1 under−1.5
2026-09-13CAR1 under−1.5
2026-09-20MIN5 over+2.5
2026-09-28PHI2 under−0.5
2026-10-04NYJ2 under−0.5
2026-10-11GB4 over+1.5
2026-10-18ATL4 over+1.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 107 / 1070% under+0.1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

2.511 books, no line disagreementPX2 · BR · BB · FD · MGM · HR · DK · ESPN · FL · PK6 · PP

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 2.5
2026-10-18@ ATL4over
2026-10-11@ GB4over
2026-10-04vs NYJ2under
2026-09-28vs PHI2under
2026-09-20vs MIN5over
2026-09-13@ CAR1under
2026-01-04vs DET1under
2025-12-28@ SF2under
2025-12-20vs GB2under
2025-12-14vs CLE1under
2025-12-07@ GB3over
2025-11-28@ PHI1under
2025-11-23vs PIT1under
2025-11-16@ MIN0under
2025-11-09vs NYG5over
2025-10-26@ BAL2under
2025-10-19vs NO1under
2025-10-13@ WAS2under
2025-09-28@ LV4over
2025-09-21vs DAL3over
2025-09-14@ DET3over
2025-09-08vs MIN3over