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Devin Duvernay
ARI vs LA · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceiving Yards · 7.5 · median of 3 books ·
49Signal · over 7.560% · 3 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 5Cleared the number in 3 of 5 games, 5 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.9 a game recently → 2.0 this game
- WR3 on the depth chart (usually WR4+) · ×1.05 targets
- vs LA · ×0.99 yds per target
- Heavier load · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 10.6 yds against 7.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 7.5 · Oct 26, 2025 – Nov 8, 2026
Worst miss -7| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-10-26 | BAL | 2 under | −5.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | GB | 24 over | +16.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SF | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | DAL | 14 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | SEA | 8 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 5 | 60% over | +2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
7.53 books, no line disagreementDAB · PP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 7.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | @ SEA | 8 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | @ DAL | 14 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ SF | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ GB | 24 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ BAL | 2 | under |