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Devin Duvernay
ARI vs LA · Sun 4:05 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 8.5 ·
52Signal · under 8.560% · 3 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 5Cleared the number in 2 of 5 games, 5 without a result
Dabble 8.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 0.0 a game recently
- targets: 1.9 a game recently → 2.0 this game
- WR3 on the depth chart (usually WR4+) · ×1.05 targets
- vs LA · ×0.99 yds per target
- Heavier load · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 10.6 yds against 8.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 8.5 · Oct 26, 2025 – Nov 8, 2026
Worst miss -15 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-10-26 | BAL | 2 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | GB | 24 over | +15.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SF | 0 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | DAL | 14 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | SEA | 8 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 5 | 60% under | -1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
8.5Dabble· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 8.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | @ SEA | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | @ DAL | 14 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ SF | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ GB | 24 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ BAL | 2 | under |