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Drew Lock

SEA vs ARI · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 5.5 at Bally Bet ·

63Signal · under 5.580% · 4 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 5Cleared the number in 1 of 5 games, 5 without a result

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 1.4 a game recently

Expected rushing yards: 3.0 yds against 5.5 · over 37%, under 63%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 5.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026

Worst miss -7 on the under
5.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo result2025-09-21 vs NO: -1, under 5.5 by 6.5 yds-1NO2025-11-09 vs ARI: -4, under 5.5 by 9.5 yds-4ARI2025-12-07 at ATL: 0, under 5.5 by 5.5 yds0ATL2026-09-09 vs NE: 13, over 5.5 by 7.5 yds13NE2026-09-20 at ARI: 0, under 5.5 by 5.5 yds0ARI
Each game against 5.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-09-21NO-1 under−6.5
2025-11-09ARI-4 under−9.5
2025-12-07ATL0 under−5.5
2026-09-09NE13 over+7.5
2026-09-20ARI0 under−5.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 104 / 580% under+4
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

5.510 books, no line disagreementDK · PX2 · BR · BB · FD · ESPN · HR · PK6 · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 5.5
2026-09-20@ ARI0under
2026-09-09vs NE13over
2025-12-07@ ATL0under
2025-11-09vs ARI-4under
2025-09-21vs NO-1under