← NFL board
Drew Lock
SEA vs ARI · Sun 4:25 PM ETRushing Yards · 5.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
63Signal · under 5.580% · 4 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 5Cleared the number in 1 of 5 games, 5 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 1.4 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 3.0 yds against 5.5 · over 37%, under 63%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 5.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026
Worst miss -7 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-21 | NO | -1 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | ARI | -4 under | −9.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | ATL | 0 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | NE | 13 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI | 0 under | −5.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 5 | 80% under | +4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
5.510 books, no line disagreementDK · PX2 · BR · BB · FD · ESPN · HR · PK6 · PP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | @ ARI | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-09 | vs NE | 13 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ATL | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ARI | -4 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | -1 | under |