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Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 62.5 at BetMGM · median 61.5 ·
53Signal · under 62.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 8.0 a game recently
- vs MIA · ×1.01 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 70.3 yds against 62.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 62.5 · Sep 29, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -62| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | MIA | 82 over | +19.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | DAL | 71 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-10-12 | DEN | 13 under | −49.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | CLE | 0 under | −62.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | TEN | 79 over | +16.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | GB | 57 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DET | 107 over | +44.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI | 27 under | −35.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 104 over | +41.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 44 under | −18.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
9 books · 1 yds spread
- FanDuel 61.5
- Hard Rock Bet 61.5
- Bally Bet 61.5
- betPARX 61.5
- BetRivers 61.5
- Fliff 61.5
- PrizePicks 61.5
- DraftKings 62.5
- BetMGM 62.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 62.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 44 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 104 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CHI | 27 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | 107 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs GB | 57 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TEN | 79 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs CLE | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DEN | 13 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs DAL | 71 | over |
| 2025-09-29 | @ MIA | 82 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ TB | 84 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs BUF | 50 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs PIT | 95 | over |