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Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 5.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
52Signal · under 5.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 8.0 a game recently
Expected receptions: 5.8 against 5.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 5.5 · Sep 29, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -5.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | MIA | 6 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | DAL | 6 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-10-12 | DEN | 3 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | CLE | 0 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | TEN | 6 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | GB | 5 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DET | 10 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI | 3 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 7 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 4 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -0.5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
5.59 books, no line disagreementMGM · DK · FD · BB · PX2 · BR · FL · HR · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CHI | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | 10 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs GB | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TEN | 6 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs CLE | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DEN | 3 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs DAL | 6 | over |
| 2025-09-29 | @ MIA | 6 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ TB | 10 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs BUF | 4 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs PIT | 7 | over |