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Geno Smith
NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ETCompletions · 20.5 at betPARX · median 19.5 ·
53Signal · under 20.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 29.6 a game recently
Expected completions: 20.7 against 20.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 20.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -10.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | DEN | 13 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | HOU | 16 under | −4.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYG | 20 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | TEN | 19 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | GB | 27 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DET | 31 over | +10.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI | 8 under | −12.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 17 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 20 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIA | 23 over | +2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +1.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
9 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the under: 20.5
- DraftKings 19.5
- Fanatics 19.5
- Hard Rock Bet 19.5
- Fliff 19.5
- DK Pick6 19.5
- PrizePicks 19.5
- betPARX 20.5 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 20.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 20.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 21.5 to 19.5
- Bally BetMoved from 19.5 to 20.5
- betPARXMoved from 19.5 to 20.5
- BetRiversMoved from 19.5 to 20.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 20.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs MIA | 23 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 20 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CHI | 8 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | 31 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs GB | 27 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TEN | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NYG | 20 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ HOU | 16 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs DEN | 13 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ LAC | 18 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs CLE | 30 | over |
| 2025-11-17 | vs DAL | 27 | over |
| 2025-11-06 | @ DEN | 16 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs JAX | 29 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ KC | 10 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs TEN | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ IND | 25 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CHI | 14 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ WAS | 19 | under |
| 2025-09-15 | vs LAC | 24 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NE | 24 | over |