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Geno Smith
NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ETCompletions · 19.5 at Fanatics ·
52Signal · under 19.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 29.6 a game recently
Expected completions: 20.7 against 19.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 19.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -11.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | DEN | 13 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | HOU | 16 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYG | 20 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | TEN | 19 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | GB | 27 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DET | 31 over | +11.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI | 8 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 17 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 20 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIA | 23 over | +3.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -0.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
9 books · 1 spread
- DraftKings 19.5
- Fanatics 19.5
- Hard Rock Bet 19.5
- Fliff 19.5
- DK Pick6 19.5
- PrizePicks 19.5
- betPARX 20.5
- BetRivers 20.5
- Bally Bet 20.5
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 21.5 to 19.5
- Bally BetMoved from 19.5 to 20.5
- betPARXMoved from 19.5 to 20.5
- BetRiversMoved from 19.5 to 20.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 19.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs MIA | 23 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 20 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CHI | 8 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | 31 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs GB | 27 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TEN | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NYG | 20 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ HOU | 16 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs DEN | 13 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ LAC | 18 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs CLE | 30 | over |
| 2025-11-17 | vs DAL | 27 | over |
| 2025-11-06 | @ DEN | 16 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs JAX | 29 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ KC | 10 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs TEN | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ IND | 25 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CHI | 14 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ WAS | 19 | under |
| 2025-09-15 | vs LAC | 24 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NE | 24 | over |