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Germie Bernard
PIT @ CIN · Sun 8:20 PM ETReceiving Yards · 49.5 at ESPN Bet · median 50.5 ·
58Signal · under 49.571% · 5 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 7Cleared the number in 2 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.0 a game recently
- vs CIN · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 40.1 yds against 49.5 · over 42%, under 58%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 49.5 · Sep 20, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026
Worst miss -37 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-20 | NE | 35 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CIN | 14 under | −35.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE | 11 under | −38.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | IND | 80 over | +30.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TB | 87 over | +37.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | NO | 27 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | CLE | 30 under | −19.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 7 | 71% under | +9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 71% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
12 books · 6 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 53.5
- BetMGM 47.5
- Dabble 48.5
- ESPN Bet 49.5
- DraftKings 50.5
- Fliff 50.5
- PrizePicks 50.5
- FanDuel 51.5
- Hard Rock Bet 51.5
- Underdog 51.5
- betPARX 53.5 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 53.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 53.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DabbleMoved from 54.5 to 48.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 47.5 to 49.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 47.5 to 50.5
- FliffMoved from 48.5 to 50.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 54.5 to 50.5
- FanDuelMoved from 48.5 to 51.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 47.5 to 51.5
- UnderdogMoved from 54.5 to 51.5
- Bally BetMoved from 51.5 to 53.5
- betPARXMoved from 51.5 to 53.5
- BetRiversMoved from 51.5 to 53.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 49.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | vs CLE | 30 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | @ NO | 27 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ TB | 87 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs IND | 80 | over |
| 2026-10-01 | @ CLE | 11 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CIN | 14 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NE | 35 | under |