← NFL board
Jared Goff
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETPass Attempts · 37.5 at Bally Bet · median 36.5 ·
47Signal · over 37.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 38.2 a game recently
Expected pass attempts: 38.2 against 37.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 37.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -8.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 34 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 41 over | +3.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 54 over | +16.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 29 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 42 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 39 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 38 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 32 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 52 over | +14.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 30 under | −7.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +1.6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
9 books · 1.5 spreadEasiest number for the over: 36
- PrizePicks 36 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 36.5 -109
- Hard Rock Bet 36.5 -110
- Fanatics 36.5 -115
- Fliff 36.5 -115
- BetMGM 36.5 -120
- Underdog 36.5
- betPARX 37.5 -109
- Bally Bet 37.5 -114
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 37.5 to 36
- UnderdogMoved from 37.5 to 36.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 37.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 30 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 52 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 32 | under |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 38 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 39 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 42 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 29 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 54 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 41 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 34 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 26 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 42 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 37 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 33 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 37 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 29 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 29 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 23 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 27 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 28 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 28 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 39 | over |