Jeremiyah Love

ARI @ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 41.5 at betPARX · median 40.5 ·

52Signal · under 41.560% · 3 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance

2 / 5

How the formula reads this game

carries: 13.4 a game recently
vs DAL · ×1.02 yds per carry

Expected rushing yards: 50.0 yds against 41.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 41.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 11, 2026

Worst miss -48 on the under

Each game against 41.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
2026-09-13	LAC	41 under	−0.5
2026-09-20	SEA	29 under	−12.5
2026-09-27	SF	90 over	+48.5
2026-10-04	NYG	63 over	+21.5
2026-10-11	DET	22 under	−19.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	3 / 5	60% under	-7
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

10 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 41.5

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 41.5
2026-10-11	vs DET	22	under
2026-10-04	@ NYG	63	over
2026-09-27	@ SF	90	over
2026-09-20	vs SEA	29	under
2026-09-13	@ LAC	41	under