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Josh Jacobs

GB @ NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Rush + Rec Yards · 69.5 at FanDuel ·

45Signal · over 69.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 13.6 a game recently
  • targets: 3.6 a game recently

Expected rush + rec yards: 65.2 yds against 69.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 69.5 · Nov 2, 2025 – Oct 29, 2026

Worst miss -66
69.52025-11-02 vs CAR: 100, over 69.5 by 30.5 yds100CAR2025-11-10 vs PHI: 107, over 69.5 by 37.5 yds107PHI2025-11-16 at NYG: 40, under 69.5 by 29.5 yds40NYG2025-11-27 at DET: 91, over 69.5 by 21.5 yds91DET2025-12-07 vs CHI: 92, over 69.5 by 22.5 yds92CHI2025-12-14 at DEN: 92, over 69.5 by 22.5 yds92DEN2025-12-20 at CHI: 48, under 69.5 by 21.5 yds48CHI2025-12-27 vs BAL: 3, under 69.5 by 66.5 yds3BAL2026-10-25 at DET: 91, over 69.5 by 21.5 yds91DET2026-10-29 vs CAR: 52, under 69.5 by 17.5 yds52CAR
Each game against 69.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-02CAR100 over+30.5
2025-11-10PHI107 over+37.5
2025-11-16NYG40 under−29.5
2025-11-27DET91 over+21.5
2025-12-07CHI92 over+22.5
2025-12-14DEN92 over+22.5
2025-12-20CHI48 under−21.5
2025-12-27BAL3 under−66.5
2026-10-25DET91 over+21.5
2026-10-29CAR52 under−17.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% over+2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

8 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 68.5 · best price BB, PX2 -113
  • Bally Bet 68.5 -113 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
  • betPARX 68.5 -113 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
  • DraftKings 69.5 -114
  • FanDuel 69.5 -114
  • Hard Rock Bet 69.5 -115
  • Fliff 69.5 -120
  • PrizePicks 69.5
  • Underdog 69.5

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 69.5
2026-10-29vs CAR52under
2026-10-25@ DET91over
2025-12-27vs BAL3under
2025-12-20@ CHI48under
2025-12-14@ DEN92over
2025-12-07vs CHI92over
2025-11-27@ DET91over
2025-11-16@ NYG40under
2025-11-10vs PHI107over
2025-11-02vs CAR100over
2025-10-26@ PIT45under
2025-10-19@ ARI58under
2025-10-12vs CIN150over
2025-09-28@ DAL157over
2025-09-21@ CLE74over
2025-09-11vs WAS84over
2025-09-07vs DET70over