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Josh Jacobs
GB @ NE · Sun 4:25 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 69.5 at PrizePicks ·
45Signal · over 69.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 13.6 a game recently
- targets: 3.6 a game recently
Expected rush + rec yards: 65.2 yds against 69.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 69.5 · Nov 2, 2025 – Oct 29, 2026
Worst miss -66| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | CAR | 100 over | +30.5 |
| 2025-11-10 | PHI | 107 over | +37.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | NYG | 40 under | −29.5 |
| 2025-11-27 | DET | 91 over | +21.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CHI | 92 over | +22.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DEN | 92 over | +22.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | CHI | 48 under | −21.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | BAL | 3 under | −66.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | DET | 91 over | +21.5 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR | 52 under | −17.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
8 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 68.5 · best price BB, PX2 -113
- Bally Bet 68.5 -113 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- betPARX 68.5 -113 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- DraftKings 69.5 -114
- FanDuel 69.5 -114
- Hard Rock Bet 69.5 -115
- Fliff 69.5 -120
- PrizePicks 69.5
- Underdog 69.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 69.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | vs CAR | 52 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | @ DET | 91 | over |
| 2025-12-27 | vs BAL | 3 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | @ CHI | 48 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DEN | 92 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CHI | 92 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DET | 91 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ NYG | 40 | under |
| 2025-11-10 | vs PHI | 107 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CAR | 100 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PIT | 45 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ ARI | 58 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CIN | 150 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DAL | 157 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CLE | 74 | over |
| 2025-09-11 | vs WAS | 84 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs DET | 70 | over |