Kenny Gainwell
TB vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionableReceiving Yards · 12.5 at DraftKings · median 11.5 ·
Listed questionable with a hip injury on the week 8 report, full practice. Everything below is history, and history is a weaker guide when a player is listed. Report checked Oct 31, 5:01 AM ET.
- Emeka Egbuka WR is listed Out (foot). He had 26% of TB's targets this season, 8.2 a game over 6.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.4 a game recently → 2.0 this game
- Questionable · ×0.82 targets
- vs ATL · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 7.8 yds against 12.5 · over 40%, under 60%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 12.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -65 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | DET | 78 over | +65.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CLE | 12 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | BAL | 64 over | +51.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CIN | 3 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE | 5 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN | 14 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | GB | 22 over | +9.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | DAL | 10 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PIT | 7 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | CAR | 0 under | −12.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
- FanDuel 11.5
- Hard Rock Bet 11.5
- Bally Bet 11.5
- betPARX 11.5
- BetRivers 11.5
- PrizePicks 11.5
- DraftKings 12.5
- DK Pick6 12.5
- ESPN Bet 14.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- FanDuelMoved from 12.5 to 11.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 10.5 to 11.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 10.5 to 12.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 12.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ CAR | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs PIT | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-08 | @ DAL | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs GB | 22 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs MIN | 14 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CLE | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CIN | 3 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs BAL | 64 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CLE | 12 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DET | 78 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | vs MIA | 46 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ BAL | 27 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs BUF | 25 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CHI | 30 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CIN | 81 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ LAC | 4 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs IND | 35 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs GB | 4 | under |
| 2025-10-16 | @ CIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CLE | 14 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs MIN | 35 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ NE | 10 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SEA | 16 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NYJ | 4 | under |