Kenny Gainwell
TB vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionableReceptions · 1.5 at DraftKings ·
Listed questionable with a hip injury on the week 8 report, full practice. Everything below is history, and history is a weaker guide when a player is listed. Report checked Oct 31, 5:01 AM ET.
- Emeka Egbuka WR is listed Out (foot). He had 26% of TB's targets this season, 8.2 a game over 6.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.4 a game recently → 2.0 this game
- Questionable · ×0.82 targets
Expected receptions: 1.4 against 1.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | DET | 5 over | +3.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CLE | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | BAL | 8 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CIN | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | GB | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | DAL | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PIT | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | CAR | 0 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +1.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ CAR | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs PIT | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-08 | @ DAL | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs GB | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs MIN | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CLE | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CIN | 1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs BAL | 8 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CLE | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DET | 5 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | vs MIA | 7 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ BAL | 6 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs BUF | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CHI | 6 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CIN | 7 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ LAC | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs IND | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs GB | 2 | over |
| 2025-10-16 | @ CIN | 2 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CLE | 6 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs MIN | 6 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ NE | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SEA | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NYJ | 3 | over |