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Kenyon Sadiq
NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 17.5 at betPARX · median 16.5 ·
55Signal · under 17.571% · 5 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 7Cleared the number in 2 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.6 a game recently → 3.7 this game
- TE2 on the depth chart (usually TE1) · ×1.03 targets
- vs LV · ×0.93 yds per target
- Heavier load · ×0.77 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 17.4 yds against 17.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 17.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -87 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | TEN | 21 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | GB | 17 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DET | 105 over | +87.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI | 0 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 3 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 12 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIA | 6 under | −11.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 7 | 71% under | -6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 71% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
10 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 17.5
- FanDuel 16.5
- Hard Rock Bet 16.5
- DraftKings 16.5
- Fliff 16.5
- DK Pick6 16.5
- PrizePicks 16.5
- ESPN Bet 17.5 (easiest number)
- betPARX 17.5 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 17.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 17.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 18.5 to 16.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 17.5 to 16.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 15.5 to 16.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs MIA | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | 105 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs GB | 17 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TEN | 21 | over |