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Kenyon Sadiq
NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 16.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
54Signal · under 16.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 7Cleared the number in 3 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.6 a game recently → 3.7 this game
- TE2 on the depth chart (usually TE1) · ×1.03 targets
- vs LV · ×0.93 yds per target
- Heavier load · ×0.77 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 17.4 yds against 16.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 16.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -88 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | TEN | 21 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | GB | 17 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DET | 105 over | +88.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI | 0 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 3 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 12 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIA | 6 under | −10.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 7 | 57% under | -7 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 57% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 17.5
- FanDuel 16.5
- Hard Rock Bet 16.5
- DraftKings 16.5
- Fliff 16.5
- DK Pick6 16.5
- PrizePicks 16.5
- ESPN Bet 17.5 (easiest number)
- betPARX 17.5 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 17.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 17.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 18.5 to 16.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 17.5 to 16.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 15.5 to 16.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs MIA | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | 105 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs GB | 17 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TEN | 21 | over |