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RJ Harvey
DEN @ ARI · Sun 4:05 PM ETRushing Yards · 14.5 at Underdog ·
47Signal · over 14.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
8 / 10Cleared the number in 8 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 4.2 a game recently
- vs ARI · ×1.04 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 16.9 yds against 14.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 14.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 15, 2026
Worst miss -8| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | LV | 75 over | +60.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | GB | 65 over | +50.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | JAX | 50 over | +35.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | KC | 43 over | +28.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | LAC | 28 over | +13.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | KC | 18 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LA | 6 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SF | 25 over | +10.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LAC | 7 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | SEA | 25 over | +10.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% over | +20 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 14.5 · best price FD -108
- FanDuel 14.5 -108 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- DraftKings 14.5 -113 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 14.5 -115 (easiest number)
- Fliff 14.5 -125 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 14.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 14.5 (easiest number)
- Underdog 14.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 16.5 -121
- betPARX 16.5 -121
- BetRivers 16.5 -121
- ESPN Bet 18.5 +135
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 18.5 to 14.5
- FanDuelMoved from 16.5 to 14.5
- FliffMoved from 17.5 to 14.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 17.5 to 14.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 21.5 to 14.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | vs SEA | 25 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ LAC | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SF | 25 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LA | 6 | under |
| 2026-09-14 | @ KC | 18 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs LAC | 28 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ KC | 43 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs JAX | 50 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs GB | 65 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ LV | 75 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ WAS | 35 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs KC | 30 | over |
| 2025-11-06 | vs LV | 9 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ HOU | 5 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs DAL | 46 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NYG | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NYJ | 4 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ PHI | 12 | under |
| 2025-09-29 | vs CIN | 58 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ LAC | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ IND | 8 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs TEN | 70 | over |