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D'Andre Swift
CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ETReceiving Yards · 21.5 at Fliff · median 20.5 ·
60%under6 / 10 · last 10
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.5 a game recently
- vs NE · ×0.98 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 22.8 yds against 21.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 21.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -32 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CLE | -2 under | −23.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | GB | 12 under | −9.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SF | 25 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DET | 8 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR | 10 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN | 54 over | +32.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | PHI | 4 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ | 16 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | GB | 30 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ATL | 26 over | +4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
12 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 21.5
- betPARX 19.5
- BetRivers 19.5
- Bally Bet 19.5
- ESPN Bet 19.5
- FanDuel 20.5
- Fanatics 20.5
- BetMGM 20.5
- PrizePicks 20.5
- DraftKings 21.5 (easiest number)
- Fliff 21.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 21.5 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 21.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 20.5 to 19.5
- betPARXMoved from 20.5 to 19.5
- BetRiversMoved from 20.5 to 19.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 18.5 to 19.5
- BetMGMMoved from 19.5 to 20.5
- FanDuelMoved from 17.5 to 20.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 17.5 to 20.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 17.5 to 21.5
- FliffMoved from 17.5 to 21.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 17.5 to 21.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 18.5 to 21.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 21.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ ATL | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ GB | 30 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs NYJ | 16 | under |
| 2026-09-28 | vs PHI | 4 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIN | 54 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CAR | 10 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs DET | 8 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ SF | 25 | over |
| 2025-12-20 | vs GB | 12 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CLE | -2 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ GB | 19 | under |
| 2025-11-28 | @ PHI | 13 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PIT | 14 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ MIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NYG | 18 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ BAL | 26 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NO | 14 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | @ WAS | 67 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ LV | 22 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DAL | 45 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DET | 6 | under |
| 2025-09-08 | vs MIN | 12 | under |