Jacoby Brissett

ARI vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM ET

Completions · 22.5 at Bally Bet ·

52Signal · over 22.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

5 / 10

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 39.0 a game recently

Expected completions: 26.0 against 22.5 · over 52%, under 48%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 22.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -6.5

Each game against 22.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-12-14	HOU	27 over	+4.5
2025-12-21	ATL	16 under	−6.5
2025-12-28	CIN	21 under	−1.5
2026-01-04	LA	22 under	−0.5
2026-09-13	LAC	27 over	+4.5
2026-09-20	SEA	17 under	−5.5
2026-09-27	SF	38 over	+15.5
2026-10-04	NYG	21 under	−1.5
2026-10-11	DET	29 over	+6.5
2026-10-18	LA	24 over	+1.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	5 / 10	50%	+1.7
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

7 books · 1 spread

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 22.5
2026-10-18	@ LA	24	over
2026-10-11	vs DET	29	over
2026-10-04	@ NYG	21	under
2026-09-27	@ SF	38	over
2026-09-20	vs SEA	17	under
2026-09-13	@ LAC	27	over
2026-01-04	@ LA	22	under
2025-12-28	@ CIN	21	under
2025-12-21	vs ATL	16	under
2025-12-14	@ HOU	27	over
2025-12-07	vs LA	25	over
2025-11-30	@ TB	29	over
2025-11-23	vs JAX	33	over
2025-11-16	vs SF	47	over
2025-11-09	@ SEA	22	under
2025-11-03	@ DAL	21	under
2025-10-19	vs GB	25	over
2025-10-12	@ IND	27	over
2025-10-05	vs TEN	0	under
2025-09-14	vs CAR	0	under