Jacoby Brissett

ARI vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 36.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·

51Signal · under 36.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

5 / 10

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 39.0 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 39.0 against 36.5 · over 49%, under 51%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 36.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -8.5

Each game against 36.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-12-14	HOU	40 over	+3.5
2025-12-21	ATL	31 under	−5.5
2025-12-28	CIN	37 over	+0.5
2026-01-04	LA	31 under	−5.5
2026-09-13	LAC	37 over	+0.5
2026-09-20	SEA	28 under	−8.5
2026-09-27	SF	52 over	+15.5
2026-10-04	NYG	35 under	−1.5
2026-10-11	DET	47 over	+10.5
2026-10-18	LA	35 under	−1.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	5 / 10	50%	+0.8
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

36.57 books, no line disagreementDK · HR · BB · PX2 · FL · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 36.5
2026-10-18	@ LA	35	under
2026-10-11	vs DET	47	over
2026-10-04	@ NYG	35	under
2026-09-27	@ SF	52	over
2026-09-20	vs SEA	28	under
2026-09-13	@ LAC	37	over
2026-01-04	@ LA	31	under
2025-12-28	@ CIN	37	over
2025-12-21	vs ATL	31	under
2025-12-14	@ HOU	40	over
2025-12-07	vs LA	44	over
2025-11-30	@ TB	40	over
2025-11-23	vs JAX	49	over
2025-11-16	vs SF	57	over
2025-11-09	@ SEA	44	over
2025-11-03	@ DAL	31	under
2025-10-19	vs GB	36	under
2025-10-12	@ IND	44	over
2025-10-05	vs TEN	1	under
2025-09-14	vs CAR	0	under