← NFL board
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM ETRushing Yards · 6.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
51Signal · over 6.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 3.2 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 10.7 yds against 6.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 6.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -6| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | HOU | 6 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | ATL | 5 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CIN | 0 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | LA | 19 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | LAC | 14 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SEA | 7 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | SF | 4 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYG | 18 over | +11.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DET | 19 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LA | 2 under | −4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
6 books · 2 yds spread
- DraftKings 6.5
- FanDuel 6.5
- Hard Rock Bet 6.5
- Fliff 6.5
- PrizePicks 6.5
- ESPN Bet 8.5
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 8.5 to 6.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ LA | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs DET | 19 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ NYG | 18 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ SF | 4 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs SEA | 7 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ LAC | 14 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ LA | 19 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs ATL | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ HOU | 6 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs LA | 22 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ TB | 16 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs JAX | 20 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SF | -2 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SEA | 31 | over |
| 2025-11-03 | @ DAL | 4 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs GB | 26 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ IND | 19 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CAR | 2 | under |