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Jordan Love
GB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM ETPassing Yards · 275.5 at Fanatics · median 277.5 ·
53Signal · under 275.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 37.7 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 280.7 yds against 275.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 275.5 · Nov 27, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -198| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | DET | 234 under | −41.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CHI | 234 under | −41.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DEN | 276 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | CHI | 77 under | −198.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN | 387 over | +111.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NYJ | 145 under | −130.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | ATL | 312 over | +36.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | TB | 197 under | −78.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CHI | 367 over | +91.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | DAL | 276 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -25 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 4 yds spread
- Fanatics 275.5
- Bally Bet 277.5
- betPARX 277.5
- FanDuel 277.5
- BetMGM 277.5
- BetRivers 277.5
- PrizePicks 277.5
- ESPN Bet 278.5
- Hard Rock Bet 278.5
- DraftKings 279.5
- Fliff 279.5
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 269.5 to 277.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 277.5 to 278.5
- FliffMoved from 278.5 to 279.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 275.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs DAL | 276 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CHI | 367 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ TB | 197 | under |
| 2026-09-24 | vs ATL | 312 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NYJ | 145 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | 387 | over |
| 2025-12-20 | @ CHI | 77 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DEN | 276 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CHI | 234 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DET | 234 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs MIN | 139 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ NYG | 174 | under |
| 2025-11-10 | vs PHI | 176 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CAR | 273 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PIT | 360 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ ARI | 179 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CIN | 259 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DAL | 337 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CLE | 183 | under |
| 2025-09-11 | vs WAS | 292 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs DET | 188 | under |