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Kaelon Black

SF vs LV · Sun 4:05 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 36.5 at DraftKings ·

55Signal · under 36.571% · 5 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 7Cleared the number in 2 of 7 games, 3 without a result

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 8.1 a game recently
  • vs LV · ×1.03 yds per carry

Expected rushing yards: 34.4 yds against 36.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 36.5 · Sep 10, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -28 on the under
36.5No resultNo resultNo result2026-09-10 at LA: 65, over 36.5 by 28.5 yds65LA2026-09-20 vs MIA: 25, under 36.5 by 11.5 yds25MIA2026-09-27 vs ARI: 17, under 36.5 by 19.5 yds17ARI2026-10-04 vs DEN: 13, under 36.5 by 23.5 yds13DEN2026-10-11 at SEA: 16, under 36.5 by 20.5 yds16SEA2026-10-19 vs WAS: 34, under 36.5 by 2.5 yds34WAS2026-10-25 at ATL: 63, over 36.5 by 26.5 yds63ATL
Each game against 36.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2026-09-10LA65 over+28.5
2026-09-20MIA25 under−11.5
2026-09-27ARI17 under−19.5
2026-10-04DEN13 under−23.5
2026-10-11SEA16 under−20.5
2026-10-19WAS34 under−2.5
2026-10-25ATL63 over+26.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 771% under+3
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 71% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

36.56 books, no line disagreementDK · FD · HR · FL · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 36.5
2026-10-25@ ATL63over
2026-10-19vs WAS34under
2026-10-11@ SEA16under
2026-10-04vs DEN13under
2026-09-27vs ARI17under
2026-09-20vs MIA25under
2026-09-10@ LA65over