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Kalif Raymond
CHI @ SEA · Mon 8:20 PM ETReceptions · 2.5 at betPARX ·
52Signal · over 2.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.4 a game recently
Expected receptions: 3.7 against 2.5 · over 52%, under 48%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 22, 2026
Worst miss -2.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 4 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR | 8 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN | 5 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | PHI | 6 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | GB | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ATL | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-22 | NE | 0 under | −2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +0.9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
2.57 books, no line disagreementPX2 · BR · ESPN · DK · BB · FD · HR· best price at 2.5: PX2, BR, ESPN +130
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | vs NE | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ ATL | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ GB | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs NYJ | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-28 | vs PHI | 6 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIN | 5 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CAR | 8 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 4 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 4 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 2 | under |