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Mike Washington Jr.
LV @ SF · Sun 4:05 PM ETCarries · 10.5 at Bally Bet · median 9.5 ·
58Signal · under 10.588% · 7 / 8 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 8Cleared the number in 1 of 8 games, 2 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 8.1 a game recently
Expected carries: 8.1 against 10.5 · over 42%, under 58%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 8 this season.
Last 10 games against 10.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026
Worst miss -14.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA | 7 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LAC | 3 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NO | 5 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | KC | 9 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NE | 1 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BUF | 9 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | LA | 6 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | NYJ | 25 over | +14.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 8 | 88% under | +2.4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 88% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
5 books · 2 spreadEasiest number for the under: 10.5
- ESPN Bet 8.5
- DraftKings 8.5
- Hard Rock Bet 9.5
- betPARX 10.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 10.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 12.5 to 8.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 12.5 to 9.5
- Bally BetMoved from 11.5 to 10.5
- betPARXMoved from 11.5 to 10.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 10.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | @ NYJ | 25 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LA | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs BUF | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NE | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs KC | 9 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NO | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ LAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs MIA | 7 | under |