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Rico Dowdle
PIT vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 2.5 at FanDuel ·
51Signal · under 2.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.3 a game recently
Expected receptions: 3.3 against 2.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Nov 24, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | SF | 4 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | LA | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | NO | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TB | 4 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SEA | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | TB | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ATL | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NE | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TB | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | NO | 6 over | +3.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +0.4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
2.510 books, no line disagreementFD · HR · ESPN · DK · PX2 · BR · BB · PK6 · PP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ NO | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | @ TB | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NE | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ATL | 2 | under |
| 2026-01-03 | @ TB | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs SEA | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs TB | 4 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ NO | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-24 | @ SF | 4 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 5 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NO | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ GB | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ NYJ | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DAL | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIA | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs ATL | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ JAX | 2 | under |