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RJ Harvey
DEN @ ARI · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceiving Yards · 25.5 at DraftKings · median 24.5 ·
53Signal · under 25.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.2 a game recently
- vs ARI · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 33.2 yds against 25.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 25.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 15, 2026
Worst miss -25| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | LV | 25 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | GB | 0 under | −25.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | JAX | 71 over | +45.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | KC | 33 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | LAC | 5 under | −20.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | KC | 23 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LA | 41 over | +15.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SF | 68 over | +42.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LAC | 0 under | −25.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | SEA | 31 over | +5.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
12 books · 3 yds spread
- BetMGM 22.5
- FanDuel 24.5
- Fliff 24.5
- Hard Rock Bet 24.5
- ESPN Bet 24.5
- PrizePicks 24.5
- Underdog 24.5
- DraftKings 25.5
- Bally Bet 25.5
- betPARX 25.5
- BetRivers 25.5
- DK Pick6 25.5
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 26.5 to 24.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 24.5 to 25.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 25.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | vs SEA | 31 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ LAC | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SF | 68 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LA | 41 | over |
| 2026-09-14 | @ KC | 23 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs LAC | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ KC | 33 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs JAX | 71 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs GB | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ LV | 25 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ WAS | 27 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs KC | 20 | under |
| 2025-11-06 | vs LV | 9 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ HOU | 51 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs DAL | 5 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NYG | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NYJ | 21 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ PHI | 18 | under |
| 2025-09-29 | vs CIN | 40 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ LAC | 14 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ IND | 16 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs TEN | -1 | under |