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Sione Vaki

DET vs NE · Sun 9:30 AM ET

Carries · 3.5 at Dabble ·

54Signal · under 3.567% · 6 / 9 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 9Cleared the number in 3 of 9 games, 1 without a result
Dabble 3.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 3.8 a game recently

Expected carries: 3.8 against 3.5 · over 46%, under 54%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 8 this season.

Last 10 games against 3.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Nov 8, 2026

Worst miss -7.5 on the under
3.5No result2025-11-09 at WAS: 1, under 3.5 by 2.51WAS2026-09-13 vs NO: 2, under 3.5 by 1.52NO2026-09-17 at BUF: 1, under 3.5 by 2.51BUF2026-09-27 vs NYJ: 6, over 3.5 by 2.56NYJ2026-10-04 at CAR: 0, under 3.5 by 3.50CAR2026-10-11 at ARI: 6, over 3.5 by 2.56ARI2026-10-25 vs GB: 1, under 3.5 by 2.51GB2026-11-01 vs MIN: 11, over 3.5 by 7.511MIN2026-11-08 at MIA: 3, under 3.5 by 0.53MIA
Each game against 3.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
2025-11-09WAS1 under−2.5
2026-09-13NO2 under−1.5
2026-09-17BUF1 under−2.5
2026-09-27NYJ6 over+2.5
2026-10-04CAR0 under−3.5
2026-10-11ARI6 over+2.5
2026-10-25GB1 under−2.5
2026-11-01MIN11 over+7.5
2026-11-08MIA3 under−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 967% under+0.1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

3.5Dabble· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 3.5
2026-11-08@ MIA3under
2026-11-01vs MIN11over
2026-10-25vs GB1under
2026-10-11@ ARI6over
2026-10-04@ CAR0under
2026-09-27vs NYJ6over
2026-09-17@ BUF1under
2026-09-13vs NO2under
2025-11-09@ WAS1under