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Aaron Rodgers
PIT @ NO · Sun 9:30 AM ETPass Attempts · 34.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
51Signal · over 34.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 38.8 a game recently
Expected pass attempts: 38.8 against 34.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 34.5 · Dec 15, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -7.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | MIA | 27 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DET | 41 over | +6.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CLE | 39 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | BAL | 47 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ATL | 40 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NE | 39 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CIN | 34 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE | 40 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | IND | 31 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TB | 49 over | +14.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +4.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
7 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the over: 33.5 · best price PX2 -117
- betPARX 33.5 -117 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- Bally Bet 33.5 -122 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 34.5 -105
- DraftKings 34.5 -111
- Fliff 34.5 -115
- PrizePicks 34.5
- Underdog 34.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 33.5 to 34.5
- FliffMoved from 32.5 to 34.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 33.5 to 34.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 34.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ TB | 49 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs IND | 31 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | @ CLE | 40 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CIN | 34 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NE | 39 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ATL | 40 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs BAL | 47 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CLE | 39 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DET | 41 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | vs MIA | 27 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ BAL | 34 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs BUF | 21 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CIN | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ LAC | 31 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs IND | 35 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs GB | 36 | over |
| 2025-10-16 | @ CIN | 34 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CLE | 30 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs MIN | 22 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ NE | 23 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SEA | 33 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NYJ | 30 | under |