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Isaac TeSlaa
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 23.5 at betPARX ·
51Signal · over 23.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.8 a game recently
- vs GB · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 36.9 yds against 23.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 23.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -23| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 20 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 0 under | −23.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 52 over | +28.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 49 over | +25.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 18 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 0 under | −23.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 26 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 66 over | +42.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 95 over | +71.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 0 under | −23.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
10 books · 2 yds spread
- ESPN Bet 22.5
- DraftKings 23.5
- betPARX 23.5
- BetRivers 23.5
- Bally Bet 23.5
- PrizePicks 23.5
- FanDuel 24.5
- Fliff 24.5
- Hard Rock Bet 24.5
- Underdog 24.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 22.5 to 23.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 22.5 to 23.5
- FliffMoved from 23.5 to 24.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 23.5 to 24.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 23.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 95 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 66 | over |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 26 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 18 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 49 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 52 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 20 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 35 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 11 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 12 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 29 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 13 | under |