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Jacoby Brissett

ARI vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM ET

Passing Yards · 234.5 at BetMGM · median 236.5 ·

56Signal · under 234.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • pass attempts: 39.0 a game recently

Expected passing yards: 221.3 yds against 234.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 234.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -139
234.52025-12-14 at HOU: 249, over 234.5 by 14.5 yds249HOU2025-12-21 vs ATL: 203, under 234.5 by 31.5 yds203ATL2025-12-28 at CIN: 212, under 234.5 by 22.5 yds212CIN2026-01-04 at LA: 243, over 234.5 by 8.5 yds243LA2026-09-13 at LAC: 277, over 234.5 by 42.5 yds277LAC2026-09-20 vs SEA: 95, under 234.5 by 139.5 yds95SEA2026-09-27 at SF: 280, over 234.5 by 45.5 yds280SF2026-10-04 at NYG: 166, under 234.5 by 68.5 yds166NYG2026-10-11 vs DET: 292, over 234.5 by 57.5 yds292DET2026-10-18 at LA: 218, under 234.5 by 16.5 yds218LA
Each game against 234.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-14HOU249 over+14.5
2025-12-21ATL203 under−31.5
2025-12-28CIN212 under−22.5
2026-01-04LA243 over+8.5
2026-09-13LAC277 over+42.5
2026-09-20SEA95 under−139.5
2026-09-27SF280 over+45.5
2026-10-04NYG166 under−68.5
2026-10-11DET292 over+57.5
2026-10-18LA218 under−16.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%-11
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

10 books · 7 yds spread
  • FanDuel 231.5
  • BetMGM 234.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 234.5
  • PrizePicks 235.5
  • Fliff 236.5
  • ESPN Bet 237.5
  • Bally Bet 237.5
  • betPARX 237.5
  • BetRivers 237.5
  • DraftKings 238.5

Line movement

  • PrizePicksMoved from 229.5 to 235.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 234.5
2026-10-18@ LA218under
2026-10-11vs DET292over
2026-10-04@ NYG166under
2026-09-27@ SF280over
2026-09-20vs SEA95under
2026-09-13@ LAC277over
2026-01-04@ LA243over
2025-12-28@ CIN212under
2025-12-21vs ATL203under
2025-12-14@ HOU249over
2025-12-07vs LA271over
2025-11-30@ TB301over
2025-11-23vs JAX317over
2025-11-16vs SF452over
2025-11-09@ SEA258over
2025-11-03@ DAL261over
2025-10-19vs GB279over
2025-10-12@ IND320over
2025-10-05vs TEN0under
2025-09-14vs CAR0under