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Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM ETPassing Yards · 237.5 at BetRivers · median 236.5 ·
56Signal · under 237.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 39.0 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 221.3 yds against 237.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 237.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -142| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | HOU | 249 over | +11.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | ATL | 203 under | −34.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CIN | 212 under | −25.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | LA | 243 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | LAC | 277 over | +39.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SEA | 95 under | −142.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | SF | 280 over | +42.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYG | 166 under | −71.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DET | 292 over | +54.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LA | 218 under | −19.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -14 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
10 books · 7 yds spread
- FanDuel 231.5
- BetMGM 234.5
- Hard Rock Bet 234.5
- PrizePicks 235.5
- Fliff 236.5
- ESPN Bet 237.5
- Bally Bet 237.5
- betPARX 237.5
- BetRivers 237.5
- DraftKings 238.5
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 229.5 to 235.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 237.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ LA | 218 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs DET | 292 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ NYG | 166 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ SF | 280 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs SEA | 95 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ LAC | 277 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ LA | 243 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CIN | 212 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs ATL | 203 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ HOU | 249 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs LA | 271 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ TB | 301 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs JAX | 317 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SF | 452 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SEA | 258 | over |
| 2025-11-03 | @ DAL | 261 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs GB | 279 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ IND | 320 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CAR | 0 | under |