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Rico Dowdle
PIT vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 27.5 at FanDuel ·
47Signal · over 27.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 7.8 a game recently
- vs CLE · ×1.03 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 30.4 yds against 27.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 27.5 · Nov 24, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -17| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | SF | 38 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | LA | 58 over | +30.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | NO | 49 over | +21.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TB | 29 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SEA | 59 over | +31.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | TB | 10 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ATL | 15 under | −12.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NE | 22 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TB | 40 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | NO | 41 over | +13.5 |
The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 26.5
- BetMGM 26.5 -115 (easiest number)
- betPARX 27.5 -112
- DraftKings 27.5 -112
- BetRivers 27.5 -113
- FanDuel 27.5 -114
- Bally Bet 27.5 -117
- Hard Rock Bet 27.5 -120
- Fliff 27.5 -125
- DK Pick6 27.5
- PrizePicks 27.5
- ESPN Bet 29.5 +110
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 25.5 to 27.5
- FanDuelMoved from 24.5 to 27.5
- FliffMoved from 24.5 to 27.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 24.5 to 27.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 25.5 to 27.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 27.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ NO | 41 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | @ TB | 40 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NE | 22 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ATL | 15 | under |
| 2026-01-03 | @ TB | 10 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs SEA | 59 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs TB | 29 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ NO | 49 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 58 | over |
| 2025-11-24 | @ SF | 38 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 45 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NO | 53 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ GB | 130 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs BUF | 54 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ NYJ | 79 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DAL | 183 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIA | 206 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 32 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs ATL | 30 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 9 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ JAX | 12 | under |