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Sione Vaki

DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Receptions · 0.5 at Underdog ·

47Signal · over 0.567% · 4 / 6 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 6Cleared the number in 4 of 6 games, 4 without a result

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 1.0 a game recently

Expected receptions: 0.8 against 0.5 · over 47%, under 53%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026

Worst miss -0.5
0.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo result2025-11-09 at WAS: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50WAS2026-09-13 vs NO: 1, over 0.5 by 0.51NO2026-09-17 at BUF: 1, over 0.5 by 0.51BUF2026-09-27 vs NYJ: 1, over 0.5 by 0.51NYJ2026-10-04 at CAR: 1, over 0.5 by 0.51CAR2026-10-11 at ARI: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50ARI
Each game against 0.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-11-09WAS0 under−0.5
2026-09-13NO1 over+0.5
2026-09-17BUF1 over+0.5
2026-09-27NYJ1 over+0.5
2026-10-04CAR1 over+0.5
2026-10-11ARI0 under−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 104 / 667% over+0.2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

0.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 0.5
2026-10-11@ ARI0under
2026-10-04@ CAR1over
2026-09-27vs NYJ1over
2026-09-17@ BUF1over
2026-09-13vs NO1over
2025-11-09@ WAS0under