← NFL board
Jared Goff
DET vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETCarries · 1.5 at PrizePicks ·
52Signal · under 1.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
PrizePicks 1.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 2.0 a game recently
Expected carries: 2.0 against 1.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 4 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | GB | 2 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +0.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
1.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs GB | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 2 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 2 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 2 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 1 | under |