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Jared Goff
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETCompletions · 25.5 at BetMGM · median 24.5 ·
53Signal · under 25.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 38.2 a game recently
Expected completions: 25.6 against 25.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 25.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -7.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 25 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 25 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 34 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 18 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 27 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 26 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 26 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 25 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 32 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 19 under | −6.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
9 books · 1 spread
- betPARX 24.5
- BetRivers 24.5
- Hard Rock Bet 24.5
- Bally Bet 24.5
- DraftKings 24.5
- Fanatics 24.5
- Fliff 24.5
- PrizePicks 24.5
- BetMGM 25.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 25.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 32 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 25 | under |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 26 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 26 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 27 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 18 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 34 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 25 | under |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 25 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 20 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 28 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 14 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 25 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 25 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 20 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 23 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 19 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 16 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 20 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 23 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 31 | over |