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Jared Goff
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETPassing TDs · 2 at PrizePicks · median 1.5 ·
51Signal · under 250% · 4 / 8 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 8Cleared the number in 4 of 8 games, 2 pushes
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 38.2 a game recently
Expected passing tds: 2.4 against 2 · over 49%, under 51% (if it doesn't land exactly on 2)
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 2 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -1| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 1 under | −1.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 3 over | +1.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 3 over | +1.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 1 under | −1.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 1 under | −1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 2 push | +0.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 4 over | +2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 2 push | +0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 1 under | −1.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 3 over | +1.0 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 8 | 50% | +0.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 1 spread
- Bally Bet 1.5
- betPARX 1.5
- BetRivers 1.5
- DraftKings 1.5
- FanDuel 1.5
- BetMGM 1.5
- ESPN Bet 1.5
- PrizePicks 2
- Fliff 2.5
- Hard Rock Bet 2.5
- Fanatics 2.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 2 | push |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 2 | push |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 2 | push |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 2 | push |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 2 | push |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 2 | push |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 2 | push |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 5 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 1 | under |